THIS AVALANCHE FORECAST EXPIRED ON December 16, 2017 @ 6:50 am
Avalanche Forecast published on December 15, 2017 @ 6:50 am
Issued by Brandon Schwartz - Tahoe National Forest

Avalanche danger is LOW for all elevations. On a regional scale, triggering an avalanche is unlikely. Signs of isolated, difficult to trigger instability linger near and above treeline. Normal caution is advised.

1. Low

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Above Treeline
Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

1. Low

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Near Treeline
Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

1. Low

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Below Treeline
Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
    Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.
Avalanche Problem 1: Normal Caution
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  • Likelihood ?
    Certain
    Very Likely
    Likely
    Possible
    Unlikely
  • Size ?
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    Very Large
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Isolated areas of difficult to trigger (stubborn) instability do exist near and above treeline on WNW to NW aspects within the forecast area. That said, on a regional scale triggering an avalanche is an unlikely event. Use normal caution to help improve the outcome in the unlikely event of a hard wind slab avalanche.

In utilizing best travel practices for moving around and through avalanche terrain, make sure your partner is competent and in position to perform a companion rescue in the unlikely event of an avalanche. If you and your partner are exposed to hazard at the same time, your partner is not ready, or is out of position, you are "effectively solo", even though you technically have a partner.

Common mistakes include:

*Skiing/riding directly above your exposed partner even though you are technically moving one at at time. This is an easy way to create multiple burials.

*Having a partner who is too far below to get up to a burial location in a short time (transitioning to skinning is not quick for most folks). Snowmobiles have an advantage and can get uphill quickly, but the partner must be at the ready (not helmet off with engine off).

 

 

recent observations

* Snowpit test results targeting the isolated hard wind slabs that linger on a few WNW to NW aspects are highly variable. Isolated indications of stubborn to trigger instability remain.

* Widespread firm, wind scoured snow surfaces exist on most aspects near and above treeline.

* Variable snow surfaces with some areas of softer snow exist near and below treeline in shaded, wind protected areas.

* Areas north of Emerald Bay above 8,000', hold decent snow coverage. Below 8,000' snow coverage remains patchy and shallow.

* South of Emerald Bay, less snow exists. Areas below 8,500' hold very little snow. A deeper but highly variable snowpack exists in areas above 8,500'.

* Snow coverage continues to decrease due to melt on southerly aspects throughout the forecast area.

Weather and CURRENT CONDITIONS
weather summary

A mostly dry weather system will pass through the forecast area tonight. Ahead of this system, ridgetop winds have shifted to the SW this morning. Little in the way of snowfall is expected. A short lived break down of air temperature inversion conditions is the major expected outcome. A strong NE wind event will occur on Saturday with ridgetop gusts to 75 mph or more. High pressure will rebuild over the forecast area. A strong cold front is likely to impact the region mid week.

CONDITIONS ALONG THE SIERRA CREST BETWEEN 8200 FT. AND 9200 FT. IN THE LAST 24 HOURS
6am temperature: 37 to 47 deg. F.
Max. temperature: 55 to 59 deg. F.
Average ridgetop wind direction: E shifting to SW
Average ridgetop wind speed: E 30 mph | SW 25 mph
Maximum ridgetop wind gust: E 59 mph | SW 44 mph
New snowfall: 0 inches
Total snow depth: 15 to 32 inches
Two-Day Mountain Weather Forecast Produced in partnership with the Reno NWS
For 7000 ft. to 8000 ft.
Friday Friday Night Saturday
Weather: Partly cloudy skies. Mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of snow showers after midnight. Snow level 6,500' falling below 6,000' after midnight. Partly cloudy skies, becoming sunny. Slight chance of snow showers in the morning.
Temperatures: 48 to 53 deg. F. 26 to 31 deg. F. 30 to 35 deg. F.
Mid Slope Winds: SW W NE
Wind Speed: Light winds increasing to 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 35 mph in the afternoon. 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 35 mph. 10 to 15 mph. Gusts to 45 mph increasing to 60 mph in the afternoon.
Expected snowfall: 0 Likely 0 in | Possible up to 2 Likely 0 in | Possible up to 1
For 8000 ft. to 9000 ft.
Friday Friday Night Saturday
Weather: Partly cloudy skies. Mostly cloudy skies with a slight chance of snow showers after midnight. Partly cloudy skies, becoming sunny. Slight chance of snow showers in the morning.
Temperatures: 46 to 51 deg. F. 26 to 31 deg. F. 27 to 32 deg. F.
Ridge Top Winds: SW W NE
Wind Speed: 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 45 mph. 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 60 mph, increasing to 30 to 45 mph with gusts to 75 mph in the afternoon.
Expected snowfall: 0 Likely 0 in | Possible up to 2 Likely 0 in | Possible up to 1
Disclaimer

This avalanche advisory is provided through a partnership between the Tahoe National Forest and the Sierra Avalanche Center. This advisory covers the Central Sierra Nevada Mountains between Yuba Pass on the north and Ebbetts Pass on the south. Click here for a map of the forecast area. This advisory applies only to backcountry areas outside established ski area boundaries. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This advisory expires 24 hours after the posted time unless otherwise noted. The information in this advisory is provided by the USDA Forest Service who is solely responsible for its content.

For a recorded version of the Avalanche Advisory call (530) 587-3558 x258