This Avalanche Advisory was published on January 22, 2011:
January 22, 2011 at 8:00 am | |
The avalanche danger should remain LOW for all elevations and aspects today. Continue to use normal caution when traveling in the backcountry. |
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Forecast Discussion:
The strong high pressure ridge over the forecast area shows no signs of departing. After some clouds this morning, mostly sunny and dry weather should continue over the next 24 hours across the region. Today's temperatures should not climb as high as yesterday due to a cold front passing east of the area. This will also allow the winds to increase and shift more towards the north and east today and tonight. By tomorrow temperatures should start to climb again and the winds should start to decrease.
A week of spring-like weather and consistent melt-freeze cycles have created excellent corn snow on the southerly aspects. On the south slopes of Mt. Tallac above Lily Lake (photo) and on Tamarack Peak yesterday, 2-3 inches of soft, wet snow has formed on top of a supportable frozen layer on sun-exposed southerly aspects. Similar conditions existed in the Donner Summit area and the Mt. Rose area the day before. In all of these areas, not enough melting occurred for water to saturate any layers in the snowpack or for wet snow instabilities to form over the last two days due to solid overnight refreezes, low sun angles, and well established drainage channels in the snowpack. On the northerly aspects, a firm, frozen crust exists in most areas with a few patches of softer snow in some areas.
Avalanche Concerns:
Another strong overnight refreeze should have occurred last night due to overnight temperatures below or near freezing in most areas and a mostly clear night sky that allowed the snowpack to radiate heat out into space. With cooler temperatures and stronger north and east winds forecast for today, less melting should occur, and what melting does occur should take longer. The melting that happens today should be enough to soften the snow surface on the most sun-exposed southerly aspects, but it should not release enough water into the snowpack for dangerous wet snow instabilities to form. Some small, isolated, shallow, wet, loose sluffs could still occur on the most sun-exposed slopes especially if the temperatures climb higher than forecasted. Most northerly aspects should remain frozen today. Continue to travel with caution in the backcountry today.
The bottom line:
The avalanche danger should remain LOW for all elevations and aspects today. Continue to use normal caution when traveling in the backcountry.
Weather Observations from along the Sierra Crest between 8200 ft and 8800 ft:
0600 temperature: | 28-32 deg. F. |
Max. temperature in the last 24 hours: | 49-56 deg. F. |
Average wind direction during the last 24 hours: | Northeast |
Average wind speed during the last 24 hours: | 15 mph |
Maximum wind gust in the last 24 hours: | 39 mph |
New snowfall in the last 24 hours: | O inches |
Total snow depth: | 60-89 inches |
Two-Day Mountain Weather Forecast - Produced in partnership with the Reno NWS
For 7000-8000 ft: |
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Saturday: | Saturday Night: | Sunday: | |
Weather: | Partly cloudy this morning becoming sunny this afternoon | Clear | Sunny in the morning becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon |
Temperatures: | 40-45 deg. F. | 25-33 deg. F. | 43-48 deg. F. |
Wind direction: | Northeast shifting to the East | East | East |
Wind speed: | 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph | 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph | around 10 mph |
Expected snowfall: | O in. | O in. | O in. |
For 8000-9000 ft: |
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Saturday: | Saturday Night: | Sunday: | |
Weather: | Partly cloudy this morning becoming sunny this afternoon | Clear | Sunny in the morning becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon |
Temperatures: | 35-40 deg. F. | 25-30 deg. F. | 35-43 deg. F. |
Wind direction: | Northeast shifting to the East | East | East shifting to the Northwest |
Wind speed: | 15-25 mph with gusts to 50 mph increasing to 20-35 mph with gusts to 60 mph in the afternoon | 20-35 mph with gusts to 65 mph | 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph decreasing to 10-15 mph in the afternoon |
Expected snowfall: | O in. | O in. | O in. |