This avalanche advisory is provided through a partnership between the Tahoe National Forest and the Sierra Avalanche Center. This advisory covers the Central Sierra Nevada Mountains between Yuba Pass on the north and Ebbetts Pass on the south. Click here for a map of the forecast area. This advisory applies only to backcountry areas outside established ski area boundaries. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This advisory expires 24 hours after the posted time unless otherwise noted. The information in this advisory is provided by the USDA Forest Service who is solely responsible for its content.


This Avalanche Advisory was published on January 21, 2013:


January 21, 2013 at 8:00 am

The avalanche danger remains LOW for all elevations and aspects on a regional scale. Even though avalanche activity is unlikley, small pockets of unstable snow may still lurk on isolated terrain features. Continue to use normal caution when travelling in the backcountry.


Forecast Discussion:


Sunny spring-like weather will continue today. The east winds that picked up yesterday should decrease allowing daytime highs to climb back into the upper 40's and low 50's above 7000 ft. Below 7000 ft. inversion conditions still exist and temperatures in the valleys remain colder than those up high this morning. The high pressure ridge entrenched over the region should allow similar weather to continue through mid week.

Recent Observations:

Yesterday observations in the Deep Creek drainage and along the ridge between Billy's Peak and the Sierra Crest showed varied surface conditions (photos, more info). On the sun exposed S aspects, some softening did occur allowing patches of 1-2 inch deep soft corn snow to form (photo). These areas quickly refroze as soon as the direct sunlight left the slope. The SE and SW aspects had less soft snow and mostly remained frozen (photo). Near and above treeline on the exposed N-NE-E aspects, firm wind scoured and wind packed surfaces existed (photo). Below treeline on the sheltered NW-N-NE aspects, several inches of soft unconsolidated snow remained on the surface (photo). In the valleys between 7600 ft. and 6800 ft. where temperatures have remained coldest, the surface snow has become so weak that ski cuts on some steep test slopes caused minor surface sluffing of the cold dry snow (photo). Other than that minor sluffing, snowpit tests, handpits, ski cuts on test slopes, and other observations revealed no signs of more serious instabilities in the snowpack. 

Avalanche Problems #1: Wind Slabs

Some hard wind slabs that remain difficult to trigger still exist. These mainly reside on the SW-W-NW aspects but have also been noted to in very isolated areas on N, E, SE and S aspects in near and above treeline areas. Even though triggering these slabs will remain unlikely due to their strength, the characteristics of this avalanche problem warrant continued caution. Hard slabs tend to break well away from their triggers and often only break when the right trigger finds the right spot after several other people have already tracked out the slope. 

Avalanche Problem #2: Loose Avalanches:

Some loose wet snow instabilities may form today due to daytime warming. If they do form, they should manifest as small roller balls, pinwheels and point releases. The most likely areas for these to form will be on very sun exposed southerly aspects near rocks or trees. Loose dry snow sluffs may also occur today on the lower elevation northerly aspects where a layer of weak cold snow exists on the snow surface. Neither of these loose snow problems should involve enough snow to bury a person, but they could change one's course of travel and push one into areas with other consequences.


The bottom line:

The avalanche danger remains LOW for all elevations and aspects on a regional scale. Even though avalanche activity is unlikley, small pockets of unstable snow may still lurk on isolated terrain features. Continue to use normal caution when travelling in the backcountry.


Andy Anderson - Avalanche Forecaster, Tahoe National Forest


Weather Observations from along the Sierra Crest between 8200 ft and 8800 ft:

0600 temperature: 31-41 deg. F.
Max. temperature in the last 24 hours: 38-44 deg. F.
Average wind direction during the last 24 hours: East
Average wind speed during the last 24 hours: 30 mph
Maximum wind gust in the last 24 hours: 52 mph
New snowfall in the last 24 hours: O inches
Total snow depth: 58-83 inches

Two-Day Mountain Weather Forecast - Produced in partnership with the Reno NWS

For 7000-8000 ft:

  Monday: Monday Night: Tuesday:
Weather: Sunny Clear Sunny
Temperatures: 45-53 deg. F. 25-32 deg. F. 43-51 deg. F.
Wind direction: East Variable Variable
Wind speed: Around 10 mph Light Light
Expected snowfall: O in. O in. O in.

For 8000-9000 ft:

  Monday: Monday Night: Tuesday:
Weather: Sunny Clear Sunny
Temperatures: 40-50 deg. F. 25-35 deg. F. 38-48 deg. F.
Wind direction: East Variable South
Wind speed: 15-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the morning becoming light in the afternoon Light Light in the morning increasing to 15-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon
Expected snowfall: O in. O in. O in.