This Avalanche Advisory was published on March 24, 2009:
March 24, 2009 at 7:00 am | |
Near and above treeline, MODERATE avalanche danger exists on SE-S-SW-W-NW aspects 35 degrees and steeper. Below treeline, avalanche danger is LOW. |
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Forecast Discussion:
Northeastery winds and clear skies should persist through tonight due to a high pressure ridge over the forecast area. A small low pressure system moving south out of Canada should impact the forecast area starting Wednesday. This system should bring an increase in clouds, slightly warmer daytime highs, and moderate to strong westerly winds.
Yesterday, the east and northeast winds moved enough snow onto the exposed, high-elevation, SE-S-SW-W-NW aspects to form wind slabs on these slopes. Skiers caused shooting cracks by stepping on these wind slabs near the summit ridgelines on Becker Peak (near Echo Summit) and Hidden Peak (West Shore of Lake Tahoe). On SW side of the ridge on Hidden Peak a "whumph" occurred as the bonds between the newly formed wind slab and the snow below it collapsed due to a skier's weight. The Bear Valley Ski Patrol reported triggering several small avalanches during control work with ski cuts and explosives due to failure of these new wind slabs. The winds stripped all of the new snow off of several exposed, high-elevation N-NE facing slopes on Castle Peak (near Donner Summit) by mid-afternoon leaving the pre-storm crust on the surface. Across the forecast area the winds remained light to moderate below the ridgelines and left soft snow in place on slopes protected by trees or terrain features. This snow stayed cold and light on the shaded northerly aspects. On the E-SE-S-SW aspects the intense March sun started to melt the surface snow making it wet and heavy by midday. Expect to see a sun crust up to at least 8500' on these sun exposed aspects today.
The newly formed wind slabs sitting on the NW-W-SW-S-SE aspects near and above treeline will remain the primary avalanche concern today. Northeast and east winds continued to move snow last night and should have caused these wind slabs to grow larger and to become more widespread. The intense March sun will also weaken these new wind slabs making them more sensitive to human triggers. The cool daytime highs, persistent northerly winds, and gradual warming since the end of the storm should limit warming instabilities on the sun exposed aspects that do not have wind slabs on them.
The bottom line:
Near and above treeline, MODERATE avalanche danger exists on SE-S-SW-W-NW aspects 35 degrees and steeper. Below treeline, avalanche danger is LOW.
Weather Observations from along the Sierra Crest between 8200 ft and 8800 ft:
0600 temperature: | 17 deg. F. |
Max. temperature in the last 24 hours: | 29 deg. F. |
Average wind direction during the last 24 hours: | Northeast |
Average wind speed during the last 24 hours: | 25 mph |
Maximum wind gust in the last 24 hours: | 64 mph |
New snowfall in the last 24 hours: | O inches |
Total snow depth: | 150 inches |
Two-Day Mountain Weather Forecast - Produced in partnership with the Reno NWS
For 7000-8000 ft: |
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Tuesday: | Tuesday Night: | Wednesday: | |
Weather: | Sunny | Clear in the evening then becoming partly cloudy | Partly cloudy in the morning becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon |
Temperatures: | 30-40 deg. F. | 22-32 deg. F. | 35-45 deg. F. |
Wind direction: | Northeast | North | West |
Wind speed: | 10 mph | 10-15 mph | 10-15 mph |
Expected snowfall: | O in. | O in. | O in. |
For 8000-9000 ft: |
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Tuesday: | Tuesday Night: | Wednesday: | |
Weather: | Sunny | Clear in the evening then becoming partly cloudy | Partly cloudy in the morning becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon |
Temperatures: | 25-35 deg. F. | 20-30 deg. F. | 30-40 deg. F. |
Wind direction: | Northeast | Northeast | East shifting to the west |
Wind speed: | 10-15 mph with gusts to 30 mph | 10-15 mph with gusts to 30 mph | 15-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph increasing to 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph in the afternoon |
Expected snowfall: | O in. | O in. | O in. |